Every Trade. Public. Since 2024. +48% APR.

178 closed trades from Gerhard’s private channel: every entry, every exit, every result. Nothing deleted. Nothing cherry-picked. A flat $10,000 staked on each one would have compounded into +$79,834 of profit.

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178 trades closed · +5.1% average · +$79,834 · 6 open right now

↓ Scroll the full ledger, all 178 trades

+0% APR
annual return on capital deployed*
0
trades closed & public
+0%
average result per trade
0
on a flat $10k per trade
0
average hold per trade

*Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the realised +$79,834 profit against the capital actually at work, on average 5.9 positions open at once, i.e. about $59,325 of the flat $10k stakes live at any time (each stake is recycled into the next trade, not held idle).

What a flat $10,000 per trade would have done

No compounding tricks, no leverage assumptions, no fees quietly removed to flatter the line. Just the same $10,000 staked on all 178 closed trades, in the order they actually closed.

Cumulative profit: $10,000 per closed trade

+$79,834

The dashed line extends the curve to today using the current unrealized P&L of the 6 open positions, aggregate numbers only, no assets shown.

But how much money did it actually take to make +$79,834?

Placing 178 separate $10,000 trades sounds like it would tie up $1,780,000. It doesn’t. Each $10,000 stake is freed the moment a trade closes and rolled straight into the next one, so only about 5.9 positions are open at any one time, roughly $59,325 of capital genuinely at work on average. Turning that $59,325 of working capital into the +$79,834 above is a +48% compound annual return.

The record, at a glance

+48% APR
annual return on capital deployed
184
trades (6 open)
+5.1%
average result
26 days
average hold

6 trades are open right now.

As you read this, Gerhard has 6 positions live in the private channel. Members see every one (the asset, the direction, the entry and the running P&L) the moment it’s posted. The closed history below is yours to verify for free. The trades open today are the part you join for.

Locked: Members Only
6 live positions

Asset, direction, entry and running P&L, unlocked the moment you join.

Unlock the Live Positions

You’re seeing the shape of 6 live trades. Members are seeing the tickers.

Recent trades: latest 30 of 178

The most recent closed trades, newest first. Nothing hidden, nothing filtered: the winners and every loss. The full sortable ledger is one click below.

Position Opened Closed Held Leverage Result Outcome
Short Injective (INJ) vs Bitcoin
Jun 22, 2026 Jul 9, 2026 17d – -0.5% breakeven
ETH vault short (May 16)
May 16, 2026 Jul 9, 2026 53d 1.75x +38.5% win
Solana vault short (May 26)
May 26, 2026 Jun 30, 2026 35d – +11.9% win
Short Solana (SOL) vs Ethereum
Jun 16, 2026 Jun 26, 2026 9d – -4% loss
Short Official Trump (TRUMP) vs Bitcoin
Jun 16, 2026 Jun 23, 2026 6d – +2.7% win
Short NEAR vs Bitcoin
Jun 15, 2026 Jun 18, 2026 2d – +1.6% win
Short Stellar (XLM) vs Bitcoin
Jun 8, 2026 Jun 16, 2026 8d – -2.6% loss
Short LUNC vs BTC
Jun 2, 2026 Jun 12, 2026 10d – +2% win
BTC vault long (Apr 2026)
Apr 23, 2026 Jun 2, 2026 40d 2.5x -22.4% loss
Short ETH/BTC (RV vault)
May 16, 2026 May 31, 2026 14d – +2.6% win
LUNC vault short
May 12, 2026 May 26, 2026 14d – +14.6% win
Solana vault long (May 9)
May 9, 2026 May 26, 2026 17d 1.25x -10.2% loss
Pengu vault short
May 8, 2026 May 23, 2026 15d – +10.1% win
Toncoin vault short
May 13, 2026 May 21, 2026 8d – +7% win
Zcash vault short (May 13)
May 13, 2026 May 20, 2026 7d – -11.9% stopped out
Short ETH (vault SMA, post-fakeout)
Mar 7, 2026 May 16, 2026 70d – -12.7% loss
Short LayerZero (ZRO) vs BTC (2nd)
Apr 2, 2026 May 15, 2026 43d – +40% win
Short SOL (vault SMA, 2nd)
May 8, 2026 May 9, 2026 1d – -4.2% loss
Short ARB vs BTC
May 4, 2026 May 8, 2026 4d – -21.4% stopped out
Long SOL (vault SMA, 1st)
Apr 20, 2026 May 8, 2026 18d 1.25x +7.3% win
Short TAO (vault SMA)
Apr 6, 2026 Apr 30, 2026 23d 2x +36.3% win
Short ZEC (vault SMA, 1st)
Apr 15, 2026 Apr 25, 2026 10d – +0.7% breakeven
Short BTC (vault SMA, new 2/116 strategy)
Mar 16, 2026 Apr 23, 2026 37d – -6.2% loss
Short SOL (vault SMA, 1st)
Mar 31, 2026 Apr 20, 2026 19d – -0.4% breakeven
Short POL vs BTC
Jan 13, 2026 Apr 15, 2026 91d – +31% win
Short ETH vs BTC
Apr 8, 2026 Apr 14, 2026 5d – -1.5% loss
Short TRUMP vs BTC (7th)
Mar 20, 2026 Apr 12, 2026 23d – +16% win
Short PENGU vs BTC
Mar 28, 2026 Apr 12, 2026 14d – 0% breakeven
Short ZEC vs BTC (4th)
Mar 20, 2026 Apr 7, 2026 17d – -18% stopped out
Short Render vs BTC (2nd)
Mar 23, 2026 Apr 2, 2026 10d – -10% loss
View all 178 closed trades →

Results are as Gerhard recorded them, or computed from market prices where a number wasn’t stated. The original buy / sell signals, with timestamps, are posted in the members-only Telegram channel.

Half the trades won. The record is still +$79,834.

Read that again. 86 wins, 82 losses, 10 break-even, barely better than a coin flip. And a flat $10,000 on every trade still simulated +$79,834.

That is the entire game. Trading was never about being right most of the time. It’s about the winners being bigger than the losers. The average trade here returned +5.1%. Losers get cut near -47.2%, winners get ridden as far as +100%.

Most people do the exact reverse: they snatch small wins and marry their losers. That one inversion is the difference between this ledger and theirs.

Anyone can post a winning screenshot.

The crypto internet is wallpapered with green numbers. Almost none of them survive contact with the truth. Three tricks keep you from ever seeing the real picture:

The losers quietly vanish.

Callers screenshot the 5× and never mention the −60%. You see a highlight reel and mistake it for a track record.

No timestamps, no proof.

A green percentage with no entry date and no exit date proves nothing. It could have been typed in this morning.

You never see the whole list.

Ten good calls pulled from a hidden hundred isn’t performance. It’s survivorship bias with nice fonts.

So here is the exact opposite of all three: the entire ledger, in order, with the losses left in.

The “Verify It Yourself” Guarantee

The 178-trade history above is already public. Verify it before you pay a cent. Then join Premium and spend 7 days inside the live trade channel, the weekly video analysis and the decision tools.

If it isn’t worth 10× what you paid, email gerhard@the-bitcoin-strategy.com for a full refund, no forms, no friction.

Honest answers before you join

No, and that’s the whole point of this page. The table above is the complete ledger: every closed trade since May 2024, winners and losers, in the order they closed. The 48% win rate is printed right there. We didn’t bury it. Cherry-picking is what this page exists to replace.

Because the live trades are the product. The closed history is free proof, that’s why all 178 of them are public. The positions open right now are what members pay for: the ticker, the direction, the entry and the running P&L, in real time. Join and they un-blur the instant you’re in.

The trades are real; the dollar figure is a clean model. Every trade was posted live in the channel with a timestamp. The “+$79,834” takes a flat $10,000 on each of the 178 closed trades and sums the result: no compounding, no leverage assumed, no fees removed. It measures the strategy’s edge, not any single member’s account.

Drawdowns, and they’re in the table too. The worst single trade was -47.2%. A coin-flip win rate guarantees losing streaks. The edge shows up across all 178 trades, not across any random five, which is exactly why a system, and the discipline to follow it through the red, beats trading on feel.

Live access the second a trade is posted (asset, direction, sizing and reasoning), plus weekly objective video analysis, backtested decision tools, the copy-trading vaults, and a members-only Telegram war-room. All under one membership, with a 7-day no-questions refund.

What happens the second you join

Minute 1: Pick monthly or yearly. Pay by card or crypto.

Minute 5: The onboarding wizard joins you to the Telegram channels.

Hour 1: Every position blurred on this page is now fully visible.

Day 1: The next trade signal lands in your pocket in real time.

Day 7: Decision day. Keep it, or take the 100% refund.

Onward: You stop watching the ledger and start being in it.

You’ve seen the proof. Now see it live.

178 closed trades say the system works. 6 open trades say it’s working right now. The only thing between you and the live channel is one click.

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Risk notice. Crypto trading is highly speculative. Past results, including every trade in the ledger above, do not guarantee future performance. The “$10,000 per trade” figure is a simplified model, not an account statement, and ignores fees, funding and slippage. The annual-return figure is the compound growth rate of that same model measured against the average capital it kept deployed, and is illustrative only. Never trade or deposit more than you can afford to lose.
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